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Biden Holds Narrow Lead Over Trump in Early 2024 Election Polls

Recent surveys show a tight race with Biden slightly ahead, but key swing states remain a battleground.

  • VoteHub's average shows Biden leading Trump by 0.1 percent.
  • Morning Consult poll marks Biden's first lead in a month, ahead by 1 point.
  • 538's forecast gives Biden a 53% chance of winning, citing fundamentals favoring him.
  • Polls indicate Trump's felony convictions have had minimal impact on voter decisions.
  • Swing states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are crucial for both candidates.
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