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Betting Splits TexansChargers as Tight Line, Low Total Shape Week 17 Matchup

Analysts cite Houston’s elite defense, with Nico Collins viewed as a potential difference-maker.

Overview

  • Houston (10-5) visits Los Angeles (11-4) at SoFi Stadium on Saturday, December 27, with kickoff at 4:30 p.m. ET on NFL Network in the U.S. and Sky Sports in the U.K.
  • Markets price this as a near pick’em with spreads around 1.5 points and an over/under near 39.5, reflecting expectations of a low-scoring game.
  • The Chargers have already secured at least a wild-card berth, while the Texans remain in the AFC South hunt and are playing for playoff positioning.
  • Racing Post recommends Houston to cover as underdogs (Texans +2.5 at BoyleSports), whereas Yahoo/Covers’ best bet targets Over 39.5 points.
  • Preview analysis highlights Houston’s defense ranking at or near the top across yards allowed, EPA, points allowed, turnover differential, pass-rush and run-stop win rates, with Nico Collins spotlighted for receiving production against a banged-up Chargers secondary.