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Betting Backs Cal Raleigh as Players and Metrics Favor Aaron Judge in Tight AL MVP Race

Raleigh’s 60-homer season has shifted odds late in September.

Overview

  • DraftKings lists Raleigh as the AL MVP favorite at -220 with Judge at +180, signaling a late swing in market sentiment.
  • ESPN’s Jeff Passan relayed that a voter’s informal player survey overwhelmingly chose Judge, suggesting strong clubhouse support for the Yankees star.
  • Judge holds clear leads in batting average and rate stats (.330 AVG, ~1.14 OPS, elite OPS+) and a slight edge in fWAR, while Raleigh leads in home runs (60) and RBIs (125).
  • Raleigh has caught an AL-high workload with strong framing and throwing metrics, whereas Judge split time between right field and DH after an elbow issue limited his throwing.
  • Seattle secured its first AL West title in 24 years as ballots near, the Yankees have clinched a postseason berth with the AL East still in play, and Raleigh has three games to chase Judge’s AL homer record of 62.