Overview
- The Bellwether survey of 1,604 women, conducted Aug. 21–22, found Democrats ahead among women by 18 points and white women preferring Democrats 47% to Republicans 39%, a reversal from 2024.
- Household finances and the cost of living were the top concern for 38% of respondents, a factor Republican pollster Christine Matthews and lawmakers say is driving the swing away from the party.
- President Trump’s approval among women stood at 32% in the poll, and the survey found that one in four women who voted for him in 2024 now disapprove of his performance.
- The poll reported majority opposition to several Trump policies, including a planned White House ballroom (68% opposed), tariffs (63% opposed), and local data centers (61% opposed).
- Reports of low White House morale and recent staff departures, including Karoline Leavitt, could complicate Republican efforts to respond to the shift and shape campaign messaging before the midterms.