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Becerra Holds Advantage After Sole CNN Debate With Hilton

The hourlong CNN face-off left the race largely unchanged with late advertising and turnout now the decisive factors.

Overview

  • The only scheduled televised debate between Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton took place Wednesday night on CNN in Burbank just days before mail ballots begin to arrive.
  • Post-debate coverage judged neither candidate landed a game-changing blow and Becerra emerged as the clearer winner on the night while maintaining a substantial polling lead in recent PPIC and UC Berkeley IGS surveys.
  • The hour featured sharp policy contrasts: Hilton offered sweeping tax and cost-cutting promises such as $3 gas, halving utility bills and eliminating state tax on the first $150,000 of income, while Becerra emphasized record-based proposals including a “Power Hour” of free electricity for low-income households, emergency freezes on rates and an 11-point plan to deploy AI across state government.
  • The contest was nationalized by Hilton’s endorsement from President Trump and Becerra’s repeated efforts to tie Hilton to Trump’s policies, while Hilton repeatedly tried to distance himself and blame long-term Democratic control in Sacramento for California’s problems.
  • With no additional debates scheduled and the state’s Democratic structural advantage intact, the outcome will hinge on vote-by-mail returns, regional turnout swings and how campaigns spend in the final weeks given practical limits from the California legislature.