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Bears-Packers Rivalry Resumes With NFC North Lead on the Line at Lambeau

Analytics show a win would significantly strengthen Chicago's postseason position.

Overview

  • Chicago enters at 9-3 as the NFC’s No. 1 seed and Green Bay is 8-3-1, with Sunday’s winner taking sole possession of the division.
  • Sportsbooks and models list the Packers as home favorites, including a FanDuel line that has Chicago as a 6.5-point underdog and ESPN Analytics favoring Green Bay in both head-to-heads.
  • NFL research cited in coverage says a Bears win would raise their playoff odds from roughly 74% to about 90%, while a loss would drop them to around 67%; the Packers would move from about 88% to 94% with a win or to roughly 75% with a loss.
  • The rivals meet twice in three weeks, with a Dec. 20 rematch in Chicago that, along with Sunday’s game, is expected to shape the division race.
  • Chicago’s recent record at Lambeau is poor—with only six wins there since 2005—adding weight to first-year coach Ben Johnson’s effort to reset the rivalry.