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BEA Raises Q2 U.S. GDP to 3.3% on Strong Spending, AI Investment, Import Reversal

The update reflects firmer consumer outlays plus AI‑linked intellectual‑property spending, with tariff‑driven import swings inflating net exports.

Overview

  • Consumer spending was revised higher to a 1.6% annualized pace, helping lift the quarter’s growth.
  • Business investment strengthened, with intellectual property products up an estimated 12.8% and equipment up 7.4%, the fastest IP gain in four years.
  • Imports fell 29.8% after Q1 stockpiling ahead of tariffs, so net exports added nearly 5 percentage points to Q2 growth even as exports slipped 1.3%.
  • A key gauge of underlying demand—real final sales to private domestic purchasers—rose at a 1.9% rate, up from the prior 1.2% estimate.
  • Inflation stayed near the Fed’s goals (headline PCE 2.0%, core 2.5%), gross domestic income jumped 4.8% with profits rebounding, and the final Q2 estimate with annual benchmark revisions arrives Sept. 25.