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BEA Cancels Q3 GDP Advance Report as Shutdown Fallout Shifts U.S. Data Calendar

A shutdown-disrupted data flow leaves officials relying on private estimates.

A large US flag flies outside the White House in Washington, DC on November 23, 2025.
Customers shop for groceries at a Walmart Supercenter retail store in North Bergen, New Jersey, U.S., November 21, 2025. REUTERS/Mike Segar/File Photo
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Overview

  • The Bureau of Economic Analysis canceled the advance estimate for third‑quarter 2025 GDP that had been scheduled for Oct. 30, citing shutdown disruptions.
  • The Commerce Department now plans to issue an initial third‑quarter GDP estimate on Dec. 23 with a final update yet to be calendared, departing from the usual three‑estimate sequence.
  • BEA rescheduled other releases, setting September Personal Income and Outlays for Dec. 5 and delaying several county and state reports.
  • The Bureau of Labor Statistics will not release October jobs and Consumer Price Index data due to collection and compilation issues stemming from the shutdown.
  • The cancellations have triggered partisan criticism and pushed analysts toward private gauges such as the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow, which had indicated solid third‑quarter growth.