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2h ago

BCR Sees $10.2 Billion in Final-Quarter Agro Exports After August Slump

Tax-driven front-loading left August filings low, clouding the timing of dollar inflows.

Carga de barcos de exportación de granos. Buques. Puerto. Exportación de granos.
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Overview

  • BCR projects September–December agro-exports at US$10.154 billion, putting 2025 totals near US$31.564 billion and 97.5 million tonnes.
  • Registrations of export sales (DJVE) fell to roughly 3.1 million tonnes in August after declarations were pulled forward in June during a temporary duty cut.
  • The soybean complex leads with exceptional activity, including about 8.4 million tonnes of beans sold abroad and strong oil and meal shipments supported by demand trends.
  • Maize lags with cumulative declared sales stuck near 22.2 million tonnes and only about 310,000 tonnes registered in August, well below historic norms.
  • Private estimates reported by Clarín see last‑quarter dollar liquidation around US$9.949 billion, and BCR notes the sector’s earlier net inflows helped the Central Bank add US$10.332 billion to gross reserves in the first half.