Overview
- Production projections remain unchanged at 48.5 Mt for soybeans, 57 Mt for corn, and 6.2 Mt for sunflower, according to the latest BCBA updates.
- Recent precipitation improved soil moisture and crop conditions, with more than 78% of soy rated normal to excellent and over 85% of corn in adequate to optimal water status, while sunflower harvest reaches 48.2% of eligible area.
- BCBA forecasts rainfall concentrated in the northern agricultural belt at 10–75 mm, with isolated NOA storms potentially exceeding 150 mm, and more limited totals across much of the south.
- A brief heat surge in the north is expected to push peaks above 30°C with pockets of 35–40°C, followed by a sharp cold-air intrusion bringing minimums near 10–15°C and sub-10°C in highlands with localized frost risk.
- Regional disparities persist as parts of Buenos Aires shifted from prior deficits to abundant moisture, raising flood and logistics concerns, and leaving final yields and harvest pace dependent on late-March weather.