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BBVA Faces Decision Window on Sabadell Bid Terms as Oct. 7 Deadline Nears

Investors now weigh a possible price sweetener against the prospect of a lowered threshold triggering a cash follow‑up bid.

Overview

  • BBVA must decide this week whether to improve its hostile offer, with the practical cutoff for changes falling around September 23–24 under the 10‑business‑day rule.
  • The current proposal offers one new BBVA share plus €0.70 in cash for every 5.5483 Sabadell shares, with the acceptance period running to October 7 unless extended.
  • Sabadell chair Josep Oliu and CEO César González‑Bueno say acceptances will fall short without a higher price, while BBVA publicly rules out a sweetener and urges investors to tender.
  • If BBVA lowers its minimum acceptance from 50% to 30% and lands between 30% and 50%, it would be obliged to launch a second, all‑cash bid priced off the weighted average market price, subject to CNMV adjustments for extraordinary events or manipulation.
  • Reporting highlights a negative premium on the current terms and notes Sabadell’s planned €2.511 billion special dividend from the TSB sale, suggesting BBVA might need roughly a 10%–16% uplift to match that benefit.