Overview
- All major opposition groups, from the Nouveau Front Populaire to the Rassemblement National, say they will vote against the government, making defeat likely.
- To sway MPs, François Bayrou floated a specific effort from high incomes, pruning tax niches benefiting wealthy households and big firms, rebalancing some business aid, and intensifying anti-fraud measures.
- The 2026 framework targets €43.8 billion in savings chiefly through spending restraint, including a year holding 2026 outlays at 2025 levels, freezes to income tax brackets and some pensions, higher health co‑pay ceilings, and 3,000 public‑sector job cuts ahead of broader attrition in 2027.
- Union resistance is hardening with a nationwide action planned for 10 September and the CFDT unimpressed by Bayrou’s outreach, while an Elabe poll reports about 72% want deputies to withhold confidence.
- Under Article 49‑1, a failed vote would force the government’s resignation and open choices for President Emmanuel Macron, including a reshuffle or a dissolution of the Assembly.