Overview

• Emmanuel Macron will convene an extraordinary session on 8 September so François Bayrou can seek confidence under Article 49.1.
• Rassemblement National, La France insoumise, the Ecologists, the Communists and the Socialist Party have said they will vote no, making defeat likely without a late reversal.
• If deputies disapprove the policy declaration, the constitution requires the prime minister to submit the government’s resignation.
• Bayrou begins a last‑ditch outreach push this week with appearances at the CFDT’s rentrée and the Medef forum, defending a plan that includes a fiscal blank year, freezes on pensions and benefits, and the removal of two public holidays.
• The Paris stock market fell and French borrowing costs rose after the announcement, as unions weigh actions for 10 September with some CGT and Solidaires federations set to mobilize.