Overview

• Under article 49.1, Bayrou will deliver a general policy declaration before a confidence vote that, if lost, requires him to submit the government's resignation.
• Rassemblement National, La France insoumise, the Ecologists, the Communists and the Socialist Party have declared they will vote against, with parliamentary counts pointing to a probable defeat barring unexpected abstentions or deals.
• Centrist and allied groups plan to back the cabinet, with MoDem and Les Républicains in support, while LIOT and several non‑inscrits are still in play.
• The move seeks validation for about €44 billion in savings, including a tax année blanche, freezes on pensions and benefits, scrapping two public holidays and changes to unemployment insurance.
• Bayrou begins outreach at a CFDT event before a Medef appearance as calls spread for a 10 September blockade and markets fall, with Paris stocks down and French debt yields higher after his announcement.