Overview

• François Bayrou will be interviewed at 18:00 on LCI, franceinfo, BFMTV and CNews, with party leader consultations beginning Monday before the vote.
• The left blocs and the Rassemblement National have said they will vote against confidence, making a government defeat highly probable.
• Bayrou’s 2026 plan targets €44 billion in savings, including a one‑year pause on pension revaluation and replacing retirees’ 10% tax abatement with a flat allowance.
• The Socialist Party refuses to back Bayrou, declares itself ready to govern with about €23 billion in savings funded by higher levies on very high wealth and large firms, and pledges not to use article 49.3.
• Emmanuel Macron rules out dissolving the Assembly and is preparing a successor, as an Elabe poll indicates the RN would lead a hypothetical snap election with roughly 31%.