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Bayrou Sets 2026 Deficit Target at 4.6%, Favors Spending Cuts Over Tax Hikes

Bayrou reaffirmed plans for €40 billion in spending cuts ahead of the July 15 budget presentation, previewing a referendum on proportional representation

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Le premier ministre François Bayrou.
Le premier ministre François Bayrou.
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Overview

  • The current deficit stands at 5.8% of GDP, with Bayrou projecting 5.4% in 2025 and 4.6% in 2026 through targeted savings of about €40 billion.
  • He ruled out a general tax increase, stating that deficit reduction will rely on spending cuts and only ‘‘efforts particuliers’’ in specific areas.
  • Bayrou has declined to disclose detailed measures until the formal unveiling of his four-year recovery plan on July 15.
  • The prime minister proposed a referendum allowing voters to choose whether to adopt proportional representation for legislative elections.
  • He also signaled intent to create a ‘‘banque de la démocratie’’ backed by the Caisse des dépôts to provide state-sponsored financing for political parties.