Overview

• François Bayrou will be interviewed at 18:00 on four rolling news channels from Matignon in a bid to defend his 2026 savings plan before lawmakers vote.
• Left-wing parties and the Rassemblement National say they will reject confidence, with the Socialist Party calling its stance irrevocable and urging Bayrou to step down.
• The PS positions itself to govern with an alternative budget focused on taxing high wealth and large firms, pledging to avoid using article 49.3.
• Emmanuel Macron rules out dissolution and is preparing options for an after‑Bayrou transition, with rapid timing tied to the political calendar.
• A new Elabe poll indicates the RN would lead a first round of hypothetical legislative elections with about 31% support, underscoring the electoral risk of new polls.