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Bayrou Faces Likely Sept. 8 Confidence Defeat as Socialists Push to Lead Next Government

Signals from LR figure Laurent Wauquiez against immediate censure have boosted the Socialists’ bid to steer succession talks.

Overview

  • François Bayrou intensified a media defense of his €44 billion savings plan, insisting it is a slowdown in spending rather than austerity and saying he will fight to the last minute before the vote.
  • Olivier Faure confirmed the Socialist Party will vote against confidence and is pitching a smaller, roughly half‑sized budget effort, vowing to avoid 49.3 and seek compromises with the center bloc.
  • Les Républicains are split after Wauquiez said his deputies would not automatically censure a PS or RN government, a stance quickly challenged by party leader Bruno Retailleau and other right‑wing figures.
  • Emmanuel Macron has urged stability and asked his governing allies to work with the Socialists, as the RN vows to censure any cabinet continuing current policies and presses for a new dissolution.
  • A nationwide “Bloquons tout” action is set for September 10, with a poll showing 54% support for the protest call and less than half of respondents favoring a confidence vote for Bayrou.