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Bayrou Faces Likely Ouster as Socialists Lock In 'No' and Stake Claim to Matignon

Macron is nudging potential partners toward a non‑censure deal with the Socialists.

Overview

  • The Socialist Party said its decision is irrevocable to vote against the confidence motion on 8 September and unveiled a smaller alternative budget featuring a 2% ‘taxe Zucman’ on fortunes above €100 million.
  • The Élysée urged current coalition forces to work with the Socialists as Olivier Faure positions his party to govern without using Article 49.3 and signals readiness to discuss entering government.
  • Les Républicains are split, with Laurent Wauquiez saying his group would not immediately censure a PS or RN government, while party chief and interior minister Bruno Retailleau warned against allowing the left to take power.
  • François Bayrou defended his plan as a necessary slowing of spending, vowed to fight until the last minute, rejected a dissolution, and continued consultations with party leaders.
  • A protest drive labeled “Bloquons tout” seeks to paralyze the country on 10 September and draws 54% sympathy in a poll, as economists warn markets are uneasy and Olivier Blanchard says IMF oversight cannot be ruled out.