Particle.news
Download on the App Store
22 ARTICLES
·
1h ago

Bayrou Faces Likely Defeat on Sept. 8 as Socialists Vow No‑Confidence and LR Signals Non‑Censure

LR's pledge not to censure a PS‑led cabinet gives the Socialists' counter‑budget a plausible path to govern.

Le Premier ministre français François Bayrou arrive avant des réunions avec les chefs de parti dans le cadre de consultations politiques à l'Hôtel de Matignon à Paris, le 4 septembre 2025, avant le vote de confiance de l'Assemblée nationale française
Image
Image
François Hollande et Emmanuel Macron à l'Elysée, le 7 mai 2022.

Overview

  • PS leader Olivier Faure said the party's decision is "irrevocable," confirming a no vote on Monday's confidence motion over Bayrou's contested 2026 savings plan.
  • The Socialists unveiled a counter‑budget halving the fiscal effort to about €21.7 billion, featuring the proposed 2% "taxe Zucman" on fortunes above €100 million and a pledge not to use Article 49.3.
  • LR assembly chief Laurent Wauquiez stated his group would not move to topple a future PS or RN cabinet, even as many LR deputies plan to withhold confidence from Bayrou and party president Bruno Retailleau objected to a PS-led scenario.
  • Multiple opposition blocs — the left, RN, much of Liot and some LR deputies — say they will not back Bayrou, making his government's fall in the Sept. 8 vote widely expected.
  • Macron publicly backs Bayrou but is preparing for contingencies, with reporting pointing to constrained choices to appoint another minority prime minister rather than dissolve the Assembly or resign.