Overview

• François Bayrou will deliver a general policy declaration at 3 p.m. before deputies vote in the evening on whether to grant confidence.
• The prime minister has staked his tenure on a 2026 savings plan of roughly €44 billion focused on cutting the deficit and tackling public debt.
• Most opposition groups, including the left and the Rassemblement National, say they will vote no, with Les Républicains divided and the confidence decided by a simple majority of votes cast.
• If confidence is refused, Bayrou must tender his government's resignation under Article 50, placing the executive in caretaker mode as President Emmanuel Macron weighs a successor or a potential dissolution.
• Markets and businesses brace for renewed uncertainty, polls point to RN strength in any snap elections, and activists have called evening “pots de départ” gatherings at town halls across France.