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Bayrou Faces Confidence Vote Today That Could Force His Government Out

He frames the move as a test of his deficit warning after talks on the 2026 budget hit a wall.

Overview

  • The prime minister will deliver a policy statement at 15:00, followed by group responses and a paper-ballot vote with results expected around 19:00, according to the Assembly president’s office.
  • Major opposition blocs — the left, the Rassemblement National and parts of Les Républicains — have announced votes against, making a defeat widely forecast.
  • If deputies refuse confidence, Article 50 requires Bayrou to submit his government’s resignation to the president, with a caretaker phase likely until a successor is named or the Assembly is dissolved.
  • Bayrou triggered the confidence vote after a budget impasse as he pressed his diagnosis on public debt and sought roughly €43.8 billion in 2026 savings, while analysts say prolonged instability is weighing on investment and hiring.
  • Political and social fallout is already taking shape, with LR leaders debating conditions for supporting a successor and activists promoting evening “pots de départ” ahead of broader actions planned for 10 September.