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3h ago

Baylor vs. Arizona State: Kickoff, TV, Odds and Model Edge for Big 12 Opener

Projection models tilt slightly to Arizona State covering with the total trending under.

Quarterback Sam Leavitt #10 of the Arizona State Sun Devils scrambles against the Texas State Bobcats during the first half at Mountain America Stadium on September 13, 2025 in Tempe, Arizona. The Sun Devils defeated the Bobcats 34-15.
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Overview

  • Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. MST/7:30 p.m. ET at McLane Stadium in Waco on FOX, with streaming on Fubo and other services that carry FOX; Tim Brando and Devin Gardner are on the call.
  • Baylor enters as a 2.5-point favorite over Arizona State in their Week 4 Big 12 matchup, with both teams opening league play at 2-1.
  • Published totals vary by outlet, with some listing 59.5 points and others citing 60.5, reflecting typical line movement across sportsbooks.
  • The SportsLine projection model gives ASU a 51% chance to cover and a 47% chance to win outright, and it projects the total to land under in 57% of simulations at 60.5.
  • Key matchup features Baylor QB Sawyer Robertson (1,070 yards, 10 TDs) against ASU QB Sam Leavitt (527 passing yards, 5–3 TD-INT, 157 rushing yards, 3 rushing TDs) and WR Jordyn Tyson (24 receptions, 314 yards, 4 TDs).