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Bayern Five Points Clear With Models Heavily Favoring the Title

Betting previews point to a high-scoring Bayern win at Gladbach, with modelers warning that early-season certainty can mislead.

Overview

  • Bayern remain unbeaten through seven league matches, holding a five-point lead and a +23 goal difference after a 2-1 win over Borussia Dortmund.
  • A Predicting Ball model cited by Fear The Wall assigns Bayern a 97.5% chance to win the Bundesliga, with the author noting possible overconfidence in early estimates.
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach are bottom and winless in seven, and the same modeling pegs their relegation probability at 28.9%.
  • Racing Post’s weekend preview predicts Bayern to win at Gladbach with over 3.5 total goals, reporting the Bavarians have won all 12 games in all competitions this term and that ten featured at least four goals.
  • The previews and analysis emphasize Bayern’s form and goal output while stressing that projections rest on a small sample at this stage of the season.