Overview
- The India Meteorological Department confirmed a low-pressure area formed over the southeast Bay of Bengal on Friday at 5:30 a.m. IST and said it had become a well-marked low by November 14.
- IMD forecasts the system will intensify into a depression by November 15 and into a cyclonic storm over the central Bay of Bengal by the evening of November 16, with some model runs projecting further strengthening to severe cyclone strength by November 18.
- Authorities have issued graduated marine warnings and advisories that tell fishermen to return to coast by November 15 and to avoid specified Bay sectors through ranges of November 15–17, with local fishing bans already imposed in Tuticorin.
- State governments in Odisha, Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh have activated district alerts, convened high-level reviews and mobilised disaster, naval and coast-guard resources while urging residents to follow official bulletins.
- Key uncertainties remain over the storm’s final track and landfall point, which keep heavy-rain risk concentrated in a later window for parts of coastal Andhra Pradesh from November 18–20 and leave coastal communities vulnerable to flooding, rough seas and disrupted fishing livelihoods.