Overview
- A well‑marked low over the southeast Bay of Bengal strengthened on Saturday and the IMD forecasts it could become a depression within hours and a cyclonic storm within about 24 hours, reaching the west‑central Bay near Andhra Pradesh by November 2–3.
- IMD director‑level forecasts put likely sustained winds of about 80–90 km/h with gusts up to 100 km/h if the system reaches cyclonic storm strength, though officials say intensity may weaken as the system moves inland.
- Authorities have issued district yellow/orange rainfall alerts for Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Telangana and Odisha, and maritime warnings caution fishermen to stay ashore because seas will be rough to very rough until around November 3.
- Cyclone Arnab made landfall on October 28 and its remnants have weakened into a low over north Chhattisgarh and adjoining East Madhya Pradesh, producing inland rain while relief and damage assessments continue in affected areas.
- ISRO/INSAT‑3DS satellite imagery shows organised convection supporting the IMD track, but meteorological centres stress uncertainty about further intensification and say forecasts will be updated as new observations come in.