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Basque Government Raises 2027 Growth Forecast to 1.7%

Stronger household spending and a firmer services sector explain the tweak despite persistent external trade and geopolitical risks.

Overview

  • The Basque Government announced on Wednesday that it raised its 2027 GDP forecast from 1.6% to 1.7% while keeping 2026 at 1.9%.
  • Officials also upgraded the employment outlook to 1.1% for 2026 and 1.0% for 2027 from earlier, lower estimates.
  • The government said the revision rests mainly on higher household consumption and a stronger services sector, while industry and exports show weaker momentum.
  • Authorities warned that risks to the outlook include US tariff measures under President Donald Trump, softer demand from France and Germany, and a fragile truce in the Middle East.
  • The revised path still places Euskadi above an expected eurozone growth near 1% and could lift local job markets if external demand holds, but exporters and manufacturers remain the key vulnerabilities to watch.