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Barnier Favored as Paris’ 2nd Constituency Votes Sunday

The contest doubles as an early test of Les Républicains’ unity in a traditionally right‑leaning slice of central Paris.

Paris le 17 septembre 2025. Michel Barnier, candidat LR à la législative partielle dans la 2e circonscription de Paris en campagne dans le 5ème arrondissement.
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<b> </b>Meeting de Michel Barnier, candidat LR à la législative partielle dans la 2ᵉ circonscription de Paris, le 19 septembre 2025 au gymnase Garancière (6ᵉ), en présence de Bruno Retailleau, ex-ministre de l’Intérieur, avant le 1er tour du 21 septembre.
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Overview

  • Voters in the 5th, 6th and 7th arrondissements head to the first round on September 21 after the Conseil constitutionnel annulled the 2024 result.
  • Former prime minister Michel Barnier runs for Les Républicains and is widely viewed as the frontrunner, with 5th arrondissement mayor Florence Berthout as his substitute.
  • The left has rallied behind Socialist Frédérique Bredin, who aims to push the race to a September 28 runoff after a strong left showing in 2024.
  • The field counts 17 candidates, including RN’s Thierry Mariani and Reconquête’s Hilaire Bouyé, additions that divide the right but are not seen as major threats in this seat.
  • A Barnier win would bolster centre‑right claims to this affluent constituency and offer a signal for LR ahead of the 2026 Paris municipal campaign.