Overview
- Odoxa-Mascaret’s poll conducted November 19–20 for Public Sénat and regional press puts Jordan Bardella at 35–36% in first-round intentions, far ahead of all rivals.
- In head-to-heads he leads Édouard Philippe 53–47, Gabriel Attal 56–44, Raphaël Glucksmann 58–42, and Jean‑Luc Mélenchon 74–26.
- The central-bloc nominee shapes the lineup: Philippe polls 17% and would reach the runoff, while Attal is at 11% behind Glucksmann (around 14.5%) and Mélenchon (around 12%).
- Nearly one third of respondents express no preference at this stage, underscoring high uncertainty so far from the election.
- Bardella also records the highest favorability in the survey at 39%, ahead of Marine Le Pen at 35% and Édouard Philippe at 32%.