Overview

• The City Council published an Institut d’Economia de Barcelona study modeling the effects of withdrawing roughly 10,000 licensed tourist apartments by 2028.
• It estimates rents would fall 8–13.4% (about €92–€152 per month) and sale prices about 6.1% (around €241 per m², roughly €22,400 on a typical 93 m² home).
• The model projects a loss of 4,000–16,000 Social Security affiliations and a minimal GDP dip of about 0.04% (approximately €36 million annually).
• Commerce, hospitality, transport, and information and communications would see the steepest declines, while finance, real estate, and professional and technical activities could gain.
• Results carry significant caveats because units may not return to regulated long‑term housing and demand could shift to hotels or nearby municipalities, and the city plans worker transition support through Barcelona Activa from 2027.