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Bank of Korea Lifts Q2 Growth to 0.7% on Export Rebound

Policymakers caution that expanding U.S. tariffs could slow exports in the second half.

Overview

  • The central bank revised second-quarter GDP growth to 0.7% from 0.6%, the fastest quarterly pace since early 2024.
  • Exports rose 4.5% quarter-on-quarter, led by semiconductors and petrochemical products.
  • Private consumption increased 0.5% and government spending grew 1.2%, pointing to a gradual recovery in domestic demand.
  • Investment was uneven, with facility investment down 2.1% and construction down 1.2%, though late-quarter strength in construction and intellectual property improved the estimate.
  • The BOK now forecasts 0.9% growth for 2025, noting risks from U.S. tariff measures and a reported 12% year-on-year drop in August shipments to the United States.