Bank of Japan Likely to Raise Interest Rates Next Week
Economists and insiders predict a rate hike as the BOJ signals readiness to tighten monetary policy further.
- The Bank of Japan is expected to raise its short-term interest rate from 0.25% to 0.5% at its January 23-24 meeting, barring major market disruptions.
- Market analysts estimate over an 80% likelihood of the hike, which would bring rates to their highest level since 2008.
- Governor Kazuo Ueda and Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino have indicated the central bank's willingness to continue tightening policy if economic recovery and inflation trends remain on track.
- The International Monetary Fund forecasts additional rate hikes in 2025 and 2026, with Japan's economy projected to grow by 1.1% in 2025 and 0.8% in 2026.
- Economists note that Japan's real interest rates remain low, and further increases may hinge on stable inflation and wage growth.