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Bank of Japan Likely to Raise Interest Rates Next Week

Economists and insiders predict a rate hike as the BOJ signals readiness to tighten monetary policy further.

  • The Bank of Japan is expected to raise its short-term interest rate from 0.25% to 0.5% at its January 23-24 meeting, barring major market disruptions.
  • Market analysts estimate over an 80% likelihood of the hike, which would bring rates to their highest level since 2008.
  • Governor Kazuo Ueda and Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino have indicated the central bank's willingness to continue tightening policy if economic recovery and inflation trends remain on track.
  • The International Monetary Fund forecasts additional rate hikes in 2025 and 2026, with Japan's economy projected to grow by 1.1% in 2025 and 0.8% in 2026.
  • Economists note that Japan's real interest rates remain low, and further increases may hinge on stable inflation and wage growth.
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