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Bank of England’s Pill Condemns QT Slowdown, Warning of Deeper Risks

The chief economist says slowing gilt sales masks structural pressures on borrowing costs.

Chief Economist and Executive Director for Monetary Analysis and Research at the Bank of England Huw Pill poses for a portrait following an interview with Reuters at the Bank of England in London, Britain, February 12, 2025. REUTERS/Suzanne Plunkett/File Photo

Overview

  • Pill publicly criticized last week’s MPC move to cut the pace of balance‑sheet runoff, arguing the Bank should have continued with faster sales.
  • The MPC reduced planned active gilt sales from £100bn to about £70bn over the next year, with external member Catherine Mann favoring roughly £62bn.
  • He was the sole dissenter on the nine‑member committee, saying market functioning could cope and that other tools are available if strains emerge.
  • Pill said pension‑scheme shifts and stretched public finances are driving yields more than QT, calling the slowdown a temporary palliative.
  • He noted QT losses reflect fiscal‑rule design rather than central‑bank failings, as taxpayer costs are projected to exceed £100bn after adding £18bn to borrowing last year.