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Bank of England Warns of Trade War Risks as IMF Cuts Growth Forecasts

Governor Bailey highlights economic vulnerabilities from US tariff plans as UK explores trade deal with Washington.

Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, attends the Monetary Policy Report press conference in London, Britain, Feb. 6, 2025.    Kin Cheung/Pool via REUTERS
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Andrew Bailey was speaking at an Institute of International Finance event in Washington

Overview

  • Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey emphasized that global trade fragmentation poses significant risks to economic growth, particularly for the UK’s open economy.
  • The Bank is analyzing the potential impacts of US tariff plans ahead of its upcoming rate-setting meeting in May.
  • The International Monetary Fund has downgraded its 2025 global growth forecast by 0.5 percentage points, with the UK’s growth projection reduced to 1.1%.
  • Bailey also noted that weak productivity growth since the 2008 financial crisis continues to pressure the UK economy.
  • Chancellor Rachel Reeves stated that the US is eager to negotiate a trade deal with the UK, with discussions ongoing in Washington.