Overview
- The Bank of England is widely expected to cut its base interest rate by 0.25 percentage points to 4.25% on May 8, marking its fourth reduction since August 2024.
- UK inflation has eased, with CPI falling to 2.6% in March and services inflation declining to 4.7%, creating room for rate cuts to support economic growth.
- The Federal Reserve is anticipated to keep its policy rate steady at 4.25%-4.50% during its May 7 meeting, citing the need for more data on the economic impact of US tariffs.
- US tariffs, introduced by President Trump, have disrupted global trade, with economists noting both inflationary and disinflationary effects depending on trade diversion and price pressures.
- Financial markets are pricing in further BoE rate cuts this year, while Fed forecasts remain divided, with some predicting no cuts and others expecting up to five by year-end.