Overview
- The Monetary Policy Committee voted 7-3 on June 19 to keep the Bank rate at a two-year low of 4.25%.
- Annual consumer price inflation eased to 3.4% in May but stayed above the 2% target driven by rising costs for food and non-alcoholic drinks.
- Escalating conflict in the Middle East and uncertainty over US tariffs have heightened the risk of further oil-price shocks.
- Official data showed the UK economy contracted by 0.3% in April amid higher business taxes and a record decline in exports to the United States.
- Markets now price in a quarter-point rate cut at the Bank’s August meeting as forecasts project inflation to remain elevated through 2025.