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Bank of England Expected to Hold Interest Rates at 4.5% Amid Global Economic Uncertainty

Policymakers face challenges from rising UK inflation, U.S. trade tariffs, and potential fiscal tightening in the upcoming budget.

  • The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is widely expected to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.5% during its meeting on Thursday.
  • Global factors, including U.S. President Donald Trump's trade tariffs and a $5 trillion drop in U.S. equity markets, are contributing to economic uncertainty.
  • UK inflation has risen to 3% in January, driven by higher energy prices, water bills, and transportation costs, complicating the MPC's decision-making process.
  • Economists predict further interest rate cuts in May and November, with the Bank taking a cautious approach to rate adjustments since last August.
  • The MPC will also assess the potential impact of April's increases in regulated prices, employer national insurance contributions, and the national living wage on inflation and employment.
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