Overview
- The central bank lowered the overnight rate by 25 basis points to 2.25%, extending this year’s easing cycle.
- Mortgage pricing moved down quickly, with the lowest five-year fixed insured rate reported at 3.79%, just above leading variable options.
- Variable-rate borrowers stand to see modest payment relief, while fixed-rate shoppers are being urged to lock pre-approvals to preserve discounts.
- Recent data from CREA and TRREB show firmer activity, including the busiest September for sales since 2021 and an 8.5% year-over-year sales gain in Toronto.
- Forecasts for 2026 diverge, with BMO seeing 2.0%, CIBC and TD expecting 2.25% to hold, and Scotiabank projecting 2.75%, as economists caution the cutting phase may be nearing its end.