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Bank of America Downgrades Supermicro Over Margin Compression Fears

Supply chain bottlenecks, rising inventory levels are forecast to erode Supermicro’s liquid-cooling advantage, driving gross margins below 10% by fiscal 2027.

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Overview

  • Bank of America resumed coverage on July 9 with an Underperform rating and a $35 price target for SMCI shares.
  • The new target implies roughly 28% downside from current trading levels around $48.95.
  • Analysts project Supermicro’s gross margin will fall from 11.3% in fiscal 2025 to 9.4% by fiscal 2027.
  • The report highlights intensifying competition, elevated inventories and GPU supply constraints as key headwinds to revenue growth.
  • It warns that Supermicro’s liquid-cooling technology could become commoditized, narrowing its differentiation against peers.