Overview

• Forecasts call for calm early-day conditions and a likely box effect for Thursday and Friday mass ascensions, with decisions finalized at pre-dawn pilot briefings.
• Albuquerque is expected to stay mostly dry for evening Fiesta events Thursday and Friday, while afternoon storms focus on western and northern New Mexico.
• Tropical Storm Priscilla’s moisture is projected to bring heavy rain to western New Mexico by Saturday afternoon, spreading toward the Rio Grande Valley later in the day.
• A second eastern Pacific system is expected to feed additional moisture Sunday, with showers possible in Albuquerque during the morning and heavier rain likely in the south and southwest.
• Forecasters highlight a heightened flash-flood risk this weekend—especially over western/southwestern New Mexico and recent burn scars—while noting track and timing uncertainties.