Overview
- Senior Conservatives say Kemi Badenoch has roughly six months to improve results before May's contests, with Robert Jenrick viewed as the likely alternative.
- Conservative support is averaging about 16–17% compared with roughly 24% when she became leader, with no uplift after a well received conference speech.
- Reform UK is capturing disaffected centre-right voters, regularly polling near 30% and gaining defectors such as Danny Kruger and Sir Jake Berry.
- A CCHQ communication reported 131 of 600 local associations lack an office email address, underscoring organisational frailties at the grassroots.
- Badenoch says she is rebuilding through policy work and strong fundraising, while pollsters note her higher recognition has not translated into better ratings.