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Back-to-Back Pacific Storms to Deliver Season’s First Widespread Bay Area Rain

Forecasts favor the North Bay for the highest totals under a low-confidence pattern that can flip to brief downpours.

Overview

  • Two systems are forecast to arrive in quick succession, with the first bringing showers Monday and a second front moving through around Wednesday.
  • An active Pacific setup is steering moisture from the Gulf of Alaska, and forecasters say the midweek system could draw on remnants of a western Pacific typhoon.
  • Rainfall will be uneven: up to about 1 inch in the North Bay, around a half-inch in San Francisco, roughly a quarter-inch in the East Bay, and near a tenth inland, with 1 to 2 inches possible along the far North Coast.
  • Confidence remains low for precise placement and intensity, so scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms may produce short, localized downpours, raising the chance of slick roads and minor urban ponding.
  • The unsettled weather should help clear Moon Complex wildfire smoke; showers may linger into Thursday before warmer, drier conditions return Friday into the weekend.