Overview

• Opinion surveys put ANO near 30% before the Oct. 3–4 parliamentary election, leaving the party short of a governing majority.
• Building a cabinet would likely mean seeking support from SPD and possibly Stacilo!/Enough, groups that advocate leaving the EU and NATO and halting aid to Ukraine.
• President Petr Pavel has warned he will not appoint a government that veers away from the country’s pro‑Western alignment.
• Babis faces a renewed trial over an alleged €2 million EU subsidy fraud and unresolved Agrofert conflicts that could require divestment, an end to subsidies, or staying out of the cabinet.
• Researchers reported nearly 300 TikTok accounts pushing pro‑Russian narratives and boosting radical parties with an estimated 5–9 million weekly views, and authorities have opened an inquiry.