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Axis My India Narrows Bihar Exit-Poll Contest, Still Tips NDA to Lead

Official counting on November 14 will test divergent projections after a record turnout.

Overview

  • Axis My India projects the NDA at 121–141 seats versus 98–118 for the Mahagathbandhan, with the RJD potentially emerging as the single-largest party.
  • Most other exit polls still forecast a clearer NDA majority, with ranges commonly between about 133–167 seats, though estimates vary widely by agency.
  • Tejashwi Yadav rejects the surveys as biased and claims voters chose change, while BJP and NDA leaders thank voters and voice confidence in returning to power.
  • The Election Commission reports turnout around 66.9%, with women’s participation at 71.6% versus 62.8% for men, a dynamic some pollsters link to the NDA’s edge.
  • Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj is generally predicted to win few or no seats, and the 243-seat Assembly requires 122 for a majority when results are declared on Friday.