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AvtoVAZ Maps Overseas Assembly Push, Sets Conditional 2026 Output Goal

The automaker says exchange-rate shifts alongside domestic market size will determine production and export plans.

Overview

  • AvtoVAZ may open up to seven foreign assembly sites by 2028, with three in CIS countries, two in Africa, and two in the Middle East.
  • President Maxim Sokolov said a strong ruble has limited export competitiveness compared with 2024, when a weaker currency boosted shipments.
  • The company outlined a provisional 2026 output target of about 400,000 vehicles, contingent on Russia’s new-car market reaching roughly 1.5 million units.
  • The board-approved plan for 2025 calls for just over 320,000 vehicles, and a reduced workweek remains in place to balance production with inventories and sales.
  • Near-term export expectations are now to match last year’s roughly 20,000 vehicles, with potential for more than 1.5x growth in 2026 if the ruble returns to late-2024 levels.