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Avatar: Fire and Ash’ Set to Lead the Christmas Box Office

Industry forecasts point to a below-$9 billion U.S. box-office finish for 2025.

Overview

  • Projections call for $55 million to $65 million for the three-day weekend and about $75 million to $80 million over the four-day Christmas frame, keeping the film at No. 1.
  • The second weekend is expected to fall 30% to 40% from its $89 million debut, with the worldwide total reaching roughly $398.7 million through Monday.
  • Sony’s Anaconda is forecast to lead new releases with around $20 million over four days from 3,400 theaters despite weak reviews, against a $45 million budget.
  • A24’s Marty Supreme widens nationwide with mid-teens to roughly $20 million four-day expectations, buoyed by strong social metrics tied to Timothée Chalamet.
  • Focus FeaturesSong Sung Blue is tracking to $10 million to $14 million over four days on a $30 million budget as distributors guide the 2025 U.S. total to about $8.8 billion to $8.9 billion.