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Avatar 3’s Box Office Will Decide Franchise Future as Tracking Puts Debut Near $110 Million

Cameron says further sequels happen only if Fire and Ash proves sufficiently profitable.

Overview

  • Early industry tracking points to a $100 million–$130 million U.S. opening weekend for Avatar: Fire and Ash, with a commonly cited $110 million estimate, below 2022’s The Way of Water debut.
  • James Cameron says he is prepared to end the film series if the threequel doesn’t generate enough profit, and he would not hand the director’s chair to another filmmaker.
  • If the series stops here, Cameron says a single unresolved thread would be addressed in a book to provide closure.
  • Disney CEO Bob Iger privately praised the film as “magnificent” in a studio screening, and Cameron says the cut was shortened to about 3 hours 15 minutes.
  • The threequel opens December 19, 2025, with a premium-format push and a darker chapter that introduces the Ash People.