Overview
- Germany’s new projection adds €10.6 billion in tax revenue for next year versus May’s estimate and €33.6 billion more through 2029, with Länder and municipalities set to benefit most.
- Berlin expects higher receipts of €915 million in 2025, €726 million in 2026 and €778 million in 2027, yet the finance senator flags looming deficits of €5.4 billion in 2026 and €5.0 billion in 2027.
- Bavaria forecasts about €1.5 billion more in 2026 than in the spring outlook, with calls for strict spending discipline as leaders keep the option of limited new borrowing on the table to support strained municipalities.
- Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern’s municipalities are projected to receive roughly €34 million more in 2026 and €46 million more in 2027, while the state’s own take changes little due to Länderfinanzausgleich effects.
- Finance officials highlight substantial forecast risk, noting the uplift depends on economic growth assumptions such as 1.3% in 2026.