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Australia’s Federal Election Hinges on Key Undecided Seats

Labor leads with 89 seats as critical races in Ryan and Longman remain unresolved, determining the Greens’ lower house future and overall parliamentary dynamics.

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Overview

  • The Australian Electoral Commission has triggered a three-candidate preferred count in Ryan to finalize which two candidates will proceed to the final tally.
  • In Ryan, LNP’s Maggie Forrest leads on primary votes, followed by Greens MP Elizabeth Watson-Brown and Labor’s Rebecca Hack, with preferences likely to decide the outcome.
  • Ryan represents the Greens’ last chance to retain a lower house seat after losing all others, leaving the party reliant on its Senate presence if defeated.
  • In Longman, LNP MP Terry Young holds a narrow lead of a few hundred votes over Labor’s Rhiannyn Douglas, with postal and absentee ballots still being counted.
  • Final results for the 11 undecided seats, including Ryan and Longman, may not be confirmed until mid-May, as postal votes are accepted up to 13 days post-election.