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Australian Tropical Rainforests Flip From Carbon Sink to Source, Nature Study Finds

Long-term monitoring links the reversal to climate-driven surges in tree deaths.

Overview

  • Nearly five decades of plot data (1971–2019) from 20 Queensland rainforest sites tracking about 11,000 trees underpinned the analysis.
  • Aboveground woody biomass shifted from gaining roughly 0.6 tonnes of carbon per hectare per year before 2000 to losing about 0.9 tonnes by 2010–2019.
  • Researchers attribute the change to increased mortality tied to extreme heat, atmospheric drying, drought and cyclone damage.
  • Cyclones were found to suppress carbon uptake for years after impact, raising concern as storm intensity is projected to increase with warming.
  • The study measures trunks and branches only, leaving roots and soils unquantified, and experts warn the result could upend carbon budgets and policy assumptions if similar patterns emerge elsewhere.